The 2024 Rule 5 Draft is less than a week away and the Red Sox — like all other 29 MLB teams — could be at risk of losing some of the eligible players they elected to leave off their 40-man roster last month.
By selecting the contracts of right-hander Hunter Dobbins and outfielder Jhostynxon Garcia on November 19, Boston left dozens of others exposed and available to rival clubs in next Wednesday’s Rule 5 Draft. One such name to keep an eye on is pitching prospect Yordanny Monegro.
Monegro was recently tabbed by MLB.com as perhaps the Red Sox’ most intriguing Rule 5 candidate. The 22-year-old righty is currently regarded by MLB Pipeline as the No. 25 prospect in Boston’s farm system, which ranks 11th among pitchers in the organization.
Originally signed for $35,000 as an international free agent coming out of the Dominican Republic in February 2020, Monegro rose through the ranks last year by breaking out to a 2.06 ERA (2.55 FIP) in 14 appearances (13 starts) spanning 65 2/3 innings between the Florida Complex League, Low-A Salem, and High-A Greenville. The Santo Domingo native seemed poised to build off that momentum out of the gate in 2024, but he did not make his season debut until early May as a result of experiencing weakness in his pitching shoulder during spring training.
After completing a three-start rehab assignment in the FCL, Monegro returned to the mound for Greenville on June 2. He then posted a 2.73 ERA (3.72 FIP) with 82 strikeouts to 26 walks in 15 outings (14 starts) and 66 innings pitched for the Drive. That includes a 39-inning stretch from July 14 through September 1 in which he did not allow a single earned run. Overall, opposing hitters batted just .176 against him.
Among the 57 pitchers who threw at least 65 innings in the South Atlantic League this year, Monegro ranked third in batting average against, fifth in WHIP (1.03), sixth in strikeout rate (30.8 percent), eighth in ERA, ninth in swinging-strike rate (15.1 percent), 10th in xFIP (3.40), 11th in strikeouts per nine innings (11.18), 21st in FIP, 22nd in line-drive rate (22.1 percent), 24th in groundball rate (40.9 percent), and 27th in walks per nine innings (3.55), per FanGraphs.
Standing at 6-foot-4 and 180 pounds, Monegro throws from a high three-quarters arm slot and incorporates a high leg kick into his delivery. This past season, the lanky hurler sat in the mid-90s and reached 96-97 mph with his four-seam fastball while also mixing in a lower-90s sinker, a mid-80s slider, an upper-70s curveball, and an upper-80s changeup.
If Monegro were to be selected by another club for $100,000 next week, he would need to stick on that team’s major-league roster (or injured list) for the entirety of the 2025 season. If those conditions cannot be met, he would be placed on waivers and then offered back to the Red Sox for $50,000 should he clear.
Given the fact that he is still developing his pitch mix and has yet to pitch above the High-A level, it seems unlikely that Monegro — who does not turn 23 until next October — would be able to stick on another team’s 26-man roster for all of 2025 without taking his lumps even if he is used in a relief role. Still, that same team may be willing to take that risk and endure those struggles with an eye toward the future since Monegro possesses the kind of potential that could further raise his ceiling.
