Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL Picks 11/25/24

   

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Monday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Panthers and Capitals, and they play the Golden Knights, Stars, and Oilers next. The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 3.48 goals per game and are scoring on 30.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Mikko Rantanen leads Colorado with 14 goals, Nathan MacKinnon has 28 assists and Cale Maker has 62 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3.57 goals per game and are killing 74.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alexandar Georgiev has allowed 37 goals on 293 shots faced, while Justus Annunen has given up 23 goals on 202 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Blue Jackets and Stars, and they play the Capitals, Predators, and Maple Leafs next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.58 goals per game and are scoring on 20.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 11 goals, Victor Hedman has 14 assists and Brandon Hagel has 50 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 76.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 35 goals on 410 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 18 goals on 125 shots.

 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last six night games at Amalie Arena following a home loss.
  • The Avalanche have lost four of their last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five games at Amalie Arena following a home loss.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at Amalie Arena.
  • The home team has won the first period in 10 of the last 12 games between the Avalanche and Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Paul has recorded a point in each of his last six appearances with the Lightning as underdogs.
  • Emil Martinsen Lilleberg has recorded an assist in each of the Lightning's last four home games.
  • Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in each of the Lightning's last four games against the Avalanche.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in three of the Avalanche's last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of the Avalanche's last 13 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche's last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 6th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T7th in the league in short-handed goals this season (2).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank T6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.48).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (74.55%).

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I wanted to pull the trigger with the Colorado Avalanche because they've caught fire these last couple of weeks, and they've been great on the road, where they're 6-3-0. However, the Tampa Bay Lightning have held their own lately as well, and you almost never get them at home with these prices. Lines with the Lightning are often inflated, especially on their home ice. If we were getting some plus money, I'd roll with the Avs. In a true pick 'em spot, give me the Lightning because of the home ice.

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