Which divisions will combine for the most wins this season?

   

We continue to think longingly of the NFL season to come. Who cares that it isn't even July yet? Over the last few weeks we have dug into some futures bets to consider on specific players, and we're beginning to traverse back through some teams and take stock of each division and conference.



One intriguing market worth a discussion is found on DraftKings under Division Specials: Which division will have the most combined wins this season?

Odds for which division has the most combined wins in 2024-25

  1. AFC North (+225)
  2. NFC North (+330)
  3. AFC East (+500)
  4. NFC West (+550)
  5. AFC West (+900)
  6. NFC East (+950)
  7. AFC South (+1400)
  8. NFC South (+1600)

One interesting thing to consider before betting a market like this is that it doesn't really matter how competitive a division is. What we mean: yes, the AFC North had three playoff teams last season, but it doesn't matter if the teams beat each other up when they play each other (six total times each), because those wins pile up no matter which form they come in. 

A market like this is best approached by looking at the quality of each team and how they'll handle business in the 11 games they play out of their division.

Last season, the AFC North easily took home the honors here, as every team finished north of .500, combining for 43 total wins. The two closest divisions were the NFC North and NFC West at 35 wins.

The year prior, it was the NFC East owning this distinction, as the four teams combined for 43 wins.

We have two conferences that seem worth a look in this market.

 

Our two favorite divisions to back

NFC East (+950)

The 2022 win leaders hold some value in this market. The Eagles have one of the easiest projected schedules in the NFL and have assembled a deep and talented group of players on both ends that should lead to another 10- to 12-win season. The Cowboys are always in the mix during the regular season and also seem bound for another double-digit win season.

That leaves two teams we would need to step for a big year. The Giants may be the X-factor here, as they looked dreadful for much of last season and Daniel Jones hardly inspires confidence at quarterback. The hope would be that a pair of new additions in Brian Burns and Malik Nabers help spark both ends of the ball.

It's far easier to see a big jump for the Commanders, though. Jayden Daniels seems to have all the makings of a dynamic impact QB from the jump, and Washington has the offensive pieces for Daniels to succeed immediately. In a wide-open NFC, the path is there for the Commanders to sniff nine wins, which could be the third team we need to push the division over the edge as the league leader in wins.

AFC North (+225)

It's chalky, but it does seem the AFC North should be set for another competitive season from all participants. It's no secret that Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin have an above .500 streak that they take pride in and push for, and whoever is the quarterback there, whether it be Russell Wilson or Justin Fields, they should be able to lift the offense enough to grab 9+ wins.

Cincinnati and Baltimore are both legitimate Super Bowl contenders, and Cleveland's elite defense and offensive line are always going to make them a difficult team to beat.

This division could easily have three playoff teams again, and in such a world, they likely combine for the most wins in the NFL.